The "Initial Estimations"

The "Initial Estimations" chapter of "The Art of War" by Sun Tzu discusses the preparatory stages of warfare, positioning war as a critical issue for a nation, directly linked to life, death, and survival.


In this chapter, Sun Tzu emphasizes that deceiving the enemy is the essence of war. He values actions that betray the enemy's expectations, such as appearing weak when strong, appearing timid when brave, and appearing far when near. Furthermore, to predict the outcome of a war, it is crucial to deeply understand five elements (Way, Heaven, Earth, General, and Law) and make calculations based on them. These elements refer to the relationship between the sovereign and the people (Way), weather and climatic conditions (Heaven), geographical conditions (Earth), the ability of the general (General), and the military system (Law). Sun Tzu states that those who deeply understand these will win, and those who do not will lose.


Therefore, he suggests avoiding reckless wars and only engaging in wars with a prospect of victory. These teachings can be applied not only to warfare but also to strategic thinking in business and daily life. However, caution is needed in applying these teachings, as misunderstanding or misusing Sun Tzu's teachings can lead to unexpected results.

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